Model output for D in the 2014 NHL draft (version 2020.0.0)

Reading guide:

Projected NHL PPG Predicted NHL PPG Miss Prob. 3rd-Pairing Prob. 2nd-Pairing Prob. 1st-Pairing Prob. Actual Overall Draft
Aaron Ekblad(more) A. Ekblad(more) 0.45 0.6 0.15 0.03 0.36 0.45 1
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Haydn Fleury(more) H. Fleury(more) 0.14 0.19 0.45 0.43 0.12 0.01 7
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Julius Honka(more) J. Honka(more) 0.15 0.66 0.08 0.04 0.16 0.73 14
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Travis Sanheim(more) T. Sanheim(more) 0.33 0.0 0.55 0.39 0.05 0.0 17
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Tony DeAngelo(more) T. DeAngelo(more) 0.5 0.66 0.01 0.0 0.04 0.95 19
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Marcus Pettersson(more) M. Pettersson(more) 0.28 0.0 0.61 0.32 0.07 0.0 38
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Andreas Englund(more) A. Englund(more) 0.1 0.0 0.64 0.33 0.03 0.0 40
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Josh Jacobs(more) J. Jacobs(more) 0.0 0.22 0.43 0.48 0.08 0.01 41
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Julius Bergman(more) J. Bergman(more) 0.0 0.41 0.46 0.14 0.11 0.29 46
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Ryan Collins(more) R. Collins(more) 0.0 0.0 0.58 0.38 0.04 0.0 47
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Roland McKeown(more) R. McKeown(more) 0.3 0.21 0.43 0.34 0.12 0.11 50
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Jack Dougherty(more) J. Dougherty(more) 0.0 0.0 0.55 0.32 0.11 0.02 51
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John MacLeod(more) J. MacLeod(more) 0.0 0.0 0.72 0.24 0.04 0.0 57
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Alex Lintuniemi(more) A. Lintuniemi(more) 0.0 0.23 0.45 0.54 0.02 0.0 60
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Rinat Valiyev(more) R. Valiyev(more) 0.0 0.0 0.74 0.26 0.0 0.0 68
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Jack Glover(more) J. Glover(more) 0.0 0.23 0.47 0.42 0.11 0.0 69
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Brett Lernout(more) B. Lernout(more) 0.05 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.01 0.0 73
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Brycen Martin(more) B. Martin(more) 0.0 0.23 0.47 0.45 0.08 0.0 74
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Alexander Peters(more) A. Peters(more) 0.0 0.0 0.63 0.33 0.04 0.0 75
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Blake Siebenaler(more) B. Siebenaler(more) 0.0 0.19 0.47 0.48 0.05 0.0 77
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Louie Belpedio(more) L. Belpedio(more) 0.67 0.14 0.44 0.37 0.16 0.04 80
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Kyle Wood(more) K. Wood(more) 0.0 0.16 0.27 0.62 0.11 0.0 84
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Mark Friedman(more) M. Friedman(more) 0.17 0.61 0.01 0.01 0.1 0.88 86
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Josh Wesley(more) J. Wesley(more) 0.0 0.0 0.73 0.24 0.03 0.0 96
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Nelson Nogier(more) N. Nogier(more) 0.0 0.0 0.76 0.21 0.03 0.0 101
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Alexis Vanier(more) A. Vanier(more) 0.0 0.43 0.29 0.15 0.39 0.17 102
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Ryan Mantha(more) R. Mantha(more) 0.0 0.17 0.41 0.5 0.08 0.0 104
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Ben Thomas(more) B. Thomas(more) 0.0 0.0 0.59 0.34 0.07 0.0 119
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Gustav Forsling(more) G. Forsling(more) 0.22 0.0 0.61 0.3 0.08 0.0 126
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Ryan Rehill(more) R. Rehill(more) 0.0 0.0 0.79 0.21 0.0 0.0 131
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Dysin Mayo(more) D. Mayo(more) 0.0 0.0 0.62 0.31 0.07 0.0 133
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Andreas Söderberg(more) A. Söderberg(more) 0.0 0.0 0.65 0.31 0.03 0.0 148
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Aaron Haydon(more) A. Haydon(more) 0.0 0.0 0.75 0.24 0.01 0.0 154
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Aaron Irving(more) A. Irving(more) 0.0 0.0 0.67 0.26 0.05 0.02 162
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David Westlund(more) D. Westlund(more) 0.0 0.0 0.92 0.08 0.0 0.0 163
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Adam Ollas Mattsson(more) A. Ollas(more) 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.27 0.03 0.0 175
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Kyle Jenkins(more) K. Jenkins(more) 0.0 0.0 0.59 0.33 0.08 0.0 187
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Patrick Sanvido(more) P. Sanvido(more) 0.0 0.0 0.59 0.35 0.06 0.0 195
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Olivier LeBlanc(more) O. LeBlanc(more) 0.0 0.38 0.32 0.29 0.23 0.16 197
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Jacob Middleton(more) J. Middleton(more) 0.14 0.0 0.62 0.35 0.03 0.0 210
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Correct classifications: 20.0 / 40
Nearly correct classifications: 13.0 / 40
Misses: 7.0 / 40
False Positives: 13.0
False Negatives: 7.0
We could have estimated 28.0 / 40 correctly by guessing all misses.