Model output for F in the 2014 NHL draft (version 2020.0.0)

Reading guide:

Projected NHL PPG Predicted NHL PPG Miss Prob. 4th-Liner Prob. Solid Prob. First-Liner Prob. Actual Overall Draft
Sam Reinhart(more) S. Reinhart(more) 0.65 0.5 0.04 0.05 0.64 0.27 2
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Leon Draisaitl(more) L. Draisaitl(more) 0.98 0.5 0.07 0.11 0.71 0.11 3
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Sam Bennett(more) S. Bennett(more) 0.36 0.54 0.25 0.42 0.21 0.12 4
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Michael Dal Colle(more) M. Dal(more) 0.22 0.54 0.24 0.27 0.43 0.06 5
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Jake Virtanen(more) J. Virtanen(more) 0.34 0.22 0.36 0.3 0.33 0.01 6
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William Nylander(more) W. Nylander(more) 0.72 0.19 0.45 0.32 0.09 0.14 8
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Nikolaj Ehlers(more) N. Ehlers(more) 0.68 0.93 0.02 0.01 0.2 0.77 9
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Nick Ritchie(more) N. Ritchie(more) 0.36 0.19 0.41 0.49 0.1 0.0 10
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Kevin Fiala(more) K. Fiala(more) 0.49 0.23 0.51 0.39 0.09 0.01 11
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Brendan Perlini(more) B. Perlini(more) 0.33 0.49 0.35 0.31 0.33 0.02 12
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Jakub Vrána(more) J. Vrána(more) 0.55 0.0 0.73 0.21 0.06 0.0 13
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Dylan Larkin(more) D. Larkin(more) 0.67 0.51 0.24 0.19 0.36 0.21 15
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Sonny Milano(more) S. Milano(more) 0.37 0.93 0.01 0.01 0.19 0.79 16
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Alex Tuch(more) A. Tuch(more) 0.53 0.5 0.17 0.25 0.48 0.1 18
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Nick Schmaltz(more) N. Schmaltz(more) 0.61 0.51 0.29 0.17 0.42 0.11 20
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Robby Fabbri(more) R. Fabbri(more) 0.49 0.5 0.14 0.15 0.46 0.25 21
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Kasperi Kapanen(more) K. Kapanen(more) 0.45 0.0 0.77 0.2 0.03 0.0 22
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Jared McCann(more) J. McCann(more) 0.4 0.0 0.59 0.26 0.13 0.01 24
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Nikita Scherbak(more) N. Scherbak(more) 0.22 0.32 0.45 0.22 0.31 0.02 26
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Nikolay Goldobin(more) N. Goldobin(more) 0.37 0.6 0.22 0.26 0.49 0.02 27
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Josh Ho-Sang(more) J. Ho-Sang(more) 0.45 0.19 0.43 0.2 0.35 0.03 28
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Adrian Kempe(more) A. Kempe(more) 0.39 0.22 0.44 0.5 0.05 0.01 29
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John Quenneville(more) J. Quenneville(more) 0.12 0.0 0.55 0.32 0.12 0.01 30
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Brendan Lemieux(more) B. Lemieux(more) 0.28 0.0 0.59 0.39 0.01 0.0 31
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Jayce Hawryluk(more) J. Hawryluk(more) 0.29 0.24 0.42 0.33 0.23 0.02 32
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Ivan Barbashyov(more) I. Barbashyov(more) 0.33 0.5 0.14 0.15 0.57 0.14 33
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Ryan MacInnis(more) R. MacInnis(more) 0.14 0.0 0.83 0.15 0.02 0.0 43
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Eric Cornel(more) E. Cornel(more) 0.0 0.0 0.61 0.29 0.09 0.0 44
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Brett Pollock(more) B. Pollock(more) 0.0 0.0 0.67 0.27 0.06 0.0 45
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Nicolas Aubé-Kubel(more) N. Aubé-Kubel(more) 0.18 0.0 0.62 0.28 0.1 0.01 48
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Vaclav Karabacek(more) V. Karabacek(more) 0.0 0.0 0.64 0.28 0.08 0.0 49
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Maxim Letunov(more) M. Letunov(more) 0.0 0.0 0.66 0.26 0.08 0.0 52
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Hunter Smith(more) H. Smith(more) 0.0 0.0 0.68 0.29 0.02 0.0 54
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Christian Dvorak(more) C. Dvorak(more) 0.47 0.0 0.84 0.15 0.01 0.0 58
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Justin Kirkland(more) J. Kirkland(more) 0.0 0.0 0.68 0.28 0.04 0.0 62
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Dominic Turgeon(more) D. Turgeon(more) 0.0 0.0 0.81 0.17 0.01 0.0 63
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Connor Chatham(more) C. Chatham(more) 0.0 0.0 0.72 0.23 0.05 0.0 71
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Alex Schoenborn(more) A. Schoenborn(more) 0.0 0.0 0.75 0.23 0.02 0.0 72
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Brayden Point(more) B. Point(more) 0.88 0.62 0.33 0.14 0.43 0.1 79
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Dylan Sadowy(more) D. Sadowy(more) 0.0 0.0 0.73 0.2 0.06 0.0 81
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Keegan Iverson(more) K. Iverson(more) 0.0 0.0 0.67 0.26 0.07 0.0 85
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Anton Karlsson(more) A. Karlsson(more) 0.0 0.0 0.54 0.46 0.0 0.0 87
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Michael Amadio(more) M. Amadio(more) 0.27 0.0 0.77 0.21 0.02 0.0 90
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Joe Wegwerth(more) J. Wegwerth(more) 0.0 0.0 0.83 0.17 0.0 0.0 92
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Nick Magyar(more) N. Magyar(more) 0.0 0.0 0.73 0.23 0.05 0.0 93
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Lucas Wallmark(more) L. Wallmark(more) 0.35 0.32 0.48 0.28 0.24 0.01 97
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Fredrik Olofsson(more) F. Olofsson(more) 0.0 0.0 0.82 0.17 0.01 0.0 98
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Chase De Leo(more) C. De(more) 0.0 0.48 0.37 0.27 0.34 0.02 99
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Shane Eiserman(more) S. Eiserman(more) 0.0 0.0 0.53 0.38 0.09 0.0 100
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J.J. Piccinich(more) J. Piccinich(more) 0.0 0.49 0.35 0.27 0.32 0.06 103
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Christoffer Ehn(more) C. Ehn(more) 0.11 0.0 0.92 0.07 0.0 0.0 106
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Julien Pelletier(more) J. Pelletier(more) 0.0 0.0 0.65 0.25 0.1 0.0 107
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Austin Poganski(more) A. Poganski(more) 0.0 0.0 0.66 0.26 0.08 0.0 110
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Alexis Pépin(more) A. Pépin(more) 0.0 0.0 0.71 0.2 0.08 0.0 114
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Michael Bunting(more) M. Bunting(more) 0.2 0.0 0.57 0.33 0.1 0.0 117
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Jaedon Descheneau(more) J. Descheneau(more) 0.0 0.58 0.09 0.24 0.66 0.01 124
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Clark Bishop(more) C. Bishop(more) 0.16 0.0 0.74 0.23 0.03 0.0 127
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Dakota Joshua(more) D. Joshua(more) 0.0 0.0 0.61 0.31 0.08 0.0 128
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Shane Gersich(more) S. Gersich(more) 0.33 0.0 0.71 0.2 0.08 0.0 134
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Oskar Lindblom(more) O. Lindblom(more) 0.43 0.0 0.64 0.29 0.07 0.0 138
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Anthony Angello(more) A. Angello(more) 0.0 0.0 0.79 0.2 0.01 0.0 145
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Anders Bjork(more) A. Bjork(more) 0.33 0.27 0.52 0.33 0.13 0.01 146
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Daniel Audette(more) D. Audette(more) 0.0 0.29 0.47 0.2 0.23 0.1 147
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Rourke Chartier(more) R. Chartier(more) 0.08 0.0 0.63 0.29 0.07 0.0 149
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Kyle Pettit(more) K. Pettit(more) 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.09 0.01 0.0 156
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Jake Marchment(more) J. Marchment(more) 0.0 0.0 0.67 0.3 0.03 0.0 157
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Brandon Baddock(more) B. Baddock(more) 0.0 0.0 0.69 0.31 0.0 0.0 161
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Chase Lang(more) C. Lang(more) 0.0 0.0 0.83 0.16 0.01 0.0 167
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Radel Fazleyev(more) R. Fazleyev(more) 0.0 0.0 0.78 0.2 0.02 0.0 168
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Reid Duke(more) R. Duke(more) 0.0 0.0 0.74 0.23 0.02 0.0 169
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Cristiano DiGiacinto(more) C. DiGiacinto(more) 0.0 0.0 0.77 0.21 0.01 0.0 170
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Kevin Labanc(more) K. Labanc(more) 0.53 0.0 0.82 0.16 0.02 0.0 171
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Chandler Yakimowicz(more) C. Yakimowicz(more) 0.0 0.0 0.88 0.11 0.0 0.0 172
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Sammy Blais(more) S. Blais(more) 0.23 0.0 0.76 0.22 0.02 0.0 176
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Matt Mistele(more) M. Mistele(more) 0.0 0.0 0.72 0.23 0.04 0.0 180
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Victor Olofsson(more) V. Olofsson(more) 0.81 0.55 0.22 0.21 0.54 0.03 181
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Mackenze Stewart(more) M. Stewart(more) 0.0 0.0 0.87 0.11 0.01 0.0 186
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Pierre Engvall(more) P. Engvall(more) 0.47 0.0 0.58 0.33 0.09 0.0 188
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Francis Perron(more) F. Perron(more) 0.0 0.0 0.78 0.15 0.07 0.01 190
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Kevin Elgestål(more) K. Elgestål(more) 0.0 0.0 0.62 0.3 0.08 0.0 194
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Axel Holmström(more) A. Holmström(more) 0.0 0.59 0.28 0.29 0.39 0.04 196
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Dwyer Tschantz(more) D. Tschantz(more) 0.0 0.23 0.27 0.51 0.22 0.0 202
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Julien Nantel(more) J. Nantel(more) 0.0 0.0 0.76 0.21 0.02 0.0 204
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Spencer Watson(more) S. Watson(more) 0.0 0.0 0.56 0.2 0.23 0.02 209
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Correct classifications: 48.0 / 84
Nearly correct classifications: 23.0 / 84
Misses: 13.0 / 84
False Positives: 13.0
False Negatives: 23.0
We could have estimated 42.0 / 84 correctly by guessing all misses.